Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 1.201812e-03 1.359404e-03 0.001519 0.001692 0.001873 0.002057 0.002258
2025-03-16 9.514892e-04 1.174934e-03 0.001409 0.001672 0.001955 0.002249 0.002577
2025-03-23 8.157075e-04 1.093034e-03 0.001394 0.001739 0.002119 0.002522 0.002977
2025-03-30 6.712612e-04 9.851467e-04 0.001338 0.001753 0.002220 0.002722 0.003296
2025-04-06 5.698453e-04 9.148409e-04 0.001315 0.001798 0.002350 0.002951 0.003646
2025-04-13 5.052527e-04 8.806814e-04 0.001329 0.001880 0.002519 0.003221 0.004040
2025-04-20 3.804008e-04 7.566453e-04 0.001227 0.001820 0.002520 0.003300 0.004218
2025-04-27 2.726034e-04 6.394511e-04 0.001122 0.001749 0.002503 0.003353 0.004364
2025-05-04 2.295825e-04 6.064181e-04 0.001120 0.001799 0.002624 0.003563 0.004684
2025-05-11 1.513742e-04 5.062527e-04 0.001022 0.001725 0.002595 0.003595 0.004800
2025-05-18 8.430274e-05 4.044916e-04 0.000912 0.001628 0.002532 0.003586 0.004865
2025-05-25 5.348642e-05 3.578081e-04 0.000874 0.001620 0.002576 0.003698 0.005067
2025-06-01 1.635002e-05 2.793042e-04 0.000795 0.001574 0.002595 0.003809 0.005304
2025-06-08 8.893405e-07 2.195495e-04 0.000736 0.001553 0.002645 0.003960 0.005591
2025-06-15 NaN 1.983514e-04 0.000739 0.001617 0.002805 0.004243 0.006036
2025-06-22 NaN 1.612188e-04 0.000707 0.001630 0.002898 0.004447 0.006388
2025-06-29 NaN 1.382549e-04 0.000697 0.001673 0.003030 0.004698 0.006797
2025-07-06 NaN 1.285632e-04 0.000712 0.001752 0.003209 0.005008 0.007276
2025-07-13 NaN 8.343560e-05 0.000639 0.001693 0.003204 0.005089 0.007481
2025-07-20 NaN 4.617284e-05 0.000564 0.001624 0.003181 0.005145 0.007655
2025-07-27 NaN 3.715676e-05 0.000563 0.001673 0.003315 0.005396 0.008062
2025-08-03 NaN 1.384597e-05 0.000492 0.001601 0.003282 0.005436 0.008214
2025-08-10 NaN 7.958795e-07 0.000414 0.001507 0.003214 0.005429 0.008305